Despite the global pandemic, sales of new robots rose slightly by 0.5% in 2020: A total of 384,000 units were delivered worldwide. The positive market development in China drove the positive trend in the overall balance sheet and offset the decline in other markets. 2020 was the third most successful year in the history of the robotics industry after 2018 and 2017.

"The economies in North America, Asia and Europe did not go through the economic low point of the Covid-19 period in the same period," says Milton Guerry, President of the IFR. "In the Chinese manufacturing industry, new orders and production rates began to pick up again in the second quarter of 2020. The North American economy subsequently recovered in the second half of 2020 and Europe followed a little later."

"The robotics market will recover strongly worldwide: We expect growth of around 13% to 435,000 units in 2021 - which would exceed the record level of 2018," reports Milton Guerry. "An increase of 17% to almost 43,000 units is forecast for North America. Installations in Europe are expected to rise by 8% to almost 73,000 units. In Asia, the 300,000 unit mark is likely to be exceeded and the previous year's result surpassed by 15 %. Double-digit growth rates are expected for almost all Southeast Asian markets by 2021."

Asia, Europe and America at a glance

Asia remains the world's largest market for industrial robots. 71% of all newly installed units were sold in Asia in 2020 (2019: 67%). Sales in China, the largest user country in the region, increased by 20% with 168,400 robots delivered. This is the highest figure ever recorded for a single country. The operational inventory reached 943,223 units (+21%). The 1 million mark is expected to be broken in 2021. This high growth rate documents the rapidly advancing robotization in China.

Japan remains the second-largest market for industrial robots after China, despite the Japanese economy being hit hard by the Covid-19 pandemic: With 38,653 units installed, sales fell by 23% in 2020. This was the second year of decline after a peak of 55,240 units in 2018. In contrast to China, demand from the electronics and automotive industries was weak in Japan. Japan's operating inventory stood at 374,000 units in 2020 (+5%).

Japan's outlook for the 2021 financial year is positive with an expected GDP growth rate of 3.7%. The Japanese robotics market is expected to grow by 7% in 2021 and by a further 5% in 2022. Regardless of the domestic market, the most important export destinations will secure demand for Japanese robotics. Even though the majority of production currently takes place directly in China, 36% of Japanese exports of robotics and automation technology were destined for China. A further 22% of exports went to the United States.

The Republic of Korea is the fourth largest robotics market after Japan, China and the USA. In 2020, installations fell by 7% to 30,506 units. The operational stock increased by 6% to 342,983 units.

The country's export-oriented economy has so far coped remarkably well with the pandemic. GDP only fell by 1% in 2020. Strong GDP growth of 4% and 3% is expected for 2021 and 2022. The electronics and semiconductor industries in particular are investing heavily. A subsidy program launched in May 2021 will further boost investment in machinery and equipment. Demand for robots from both the electronics industry and automotive suppliers is expected to increase significantly by 11% in 2021 and by an average of 8% per year in the following years.

Europe

In Europe, installations of industrial robots fell by 8% to 67,700 units in 2020. This was the second consecutive year of decline in the robotics market, following a peak of 75,560 units in 2018. Demand from the automotive industry fell by a further 20%, while installations in general industry rose by 14%.

Germany is one of the five largest robot markets in the world (China, Japan, USA, Korea, Germany) and accounted for 33% of total installations in Europe. It was followed by Italy with 13% and France with 8%.

The number of robots installed in Germany remained at around 22,300 units in 2020. This is the third-highest installation figure of all time. Driven by strong foreign business, the German robotics industry is recovering. The domestic market is expected to grow slowly, mainly supported by demand for low-cost robots in general industry and outside manufacturing.

In the UK, installations of industrial robots increased by 8% to 2,205 units in 2020. The automotive industry increased by 16% to 875 units - accounting for 40% of UK sales. The food and beverage industry almost doubled its installations from 155 units in 2019 to 304 units in 2020 (+96%) The food and beverage industry had a high proportion of foreign workers, often from Eastern Europe, and is facing a massive labor shortage. The ongoing Covid-19 travel restrictions are one reason and Brexit is another. According to forecasts, demand will grow strongly at double-digit rates in 2021 and 2022. A massive tax incentive will boost the modernization of the British manufacturing industry. The 2,205 newly installed units in the UK in 2020 are around ten times less than deliveries in Germany (22,302 units), around four times less than in Italy (8,525 units) and less than half the number of industrial robots in France (5,368 units).

North America

The USA is the largest user of industrial robots on the American continent, accounting for 79% of total installations. It is followed by Mexico with 9% and Canada with 7%. In 2020, new installations in the United States fell by 8%. After eight years of growth, this was the second year in a row with a decline. While the automotive industry demanded significantly fewer robots in 2020 (10,494 units, - 19 %), installations in the electrical/electronics industry increased by 7 % to 3,710 units. The operating inventory in the United States has grown by 6% CAGR since 2015.

The overall outlook for the North American market is very positive. A strong recovery is already underway and a return to pre-crisis levels can be expected in 2021. Robot installations are expected to increase by 17% in 2021. A post-crisis boom will ensure additional growth in the low double-digit range in 2022 and beyond.

Outlook

The 'post-crisis boom' is likely to subside slightly worldwide in 2022. From 2021 to 2024, average annual growth rates in the mid-single-digit range are expected. A race to catch up will take place in 2022 or 2023 - slight declines may occur as a statistical effect. Should special effects occur, they will not break the general growth trend. The historic mark of 500,000 robot units installed worldwide per year is expected to be reached in 2024.