VDMA

Inka Krischke,

Mechanical engineering expects production growth in 2017

Despite all the difficulties in many important foreign markets, mechanical engineering companies are expecting a slight upturn in business in the coming year - following zero growth in the current year.

VDMA Chief Economist Dr. Wiechers: "All in all, there is a lot to suggest that German mechanical engineering companies will succeed in at least maintaining, if not surpassing, the previous year's level in 2017, even in an environment characterized by numerous uncertainties."

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"We are relying on the resilience, adaptability and innovative capacity of our mechanical engineering companies," announces VDMA President Dr. Reinhold Festge. "Our production forecast for 2017 is therefore: plus 1% in real terms." For the current year, the VDMA economists confirm their forecast of only zero growth in real production.

According to current forecasts, global gross domestic product will only increase by 2.7% this year - the lowest rate since the financial crisis in 2009. "This is not enough for the mechanical engineering industry to really get going, as the growth rate would have to reach more than 3%," explains VDMA Chief Economist Ralph Wiechers. China in particular is largely failing as a growth engine for the world this year, with some serious consequences not only for the German mechanical engineering sector. Other countries or regions will only be able to compensate for this investment weakness to a limited extent. Added to this are new uncertainties in important sales markets such as the UK and Turkey. As a result, machinery exports from Germany fell by 3.4% in real terms in the period from January to July 2016 compared to the previous year. However, the export climate in the mechanical engineering sector has recently brightened somewhat, meaning that further declines in exports can probably be avoided.

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